Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.622590 1.846921 2.092940 2.383075 2.716294 3.087497 3.533030
2025-10-26 1.287189 1.579540 1.926476 2.369779 2.922964 3.592830 4.469033
2025-11-02 1.028724 1.342733 1.740413 2.283610 3.010336 3.954735 5.284293
2025-11-09 0.829112 1.139803 1.555466 2.156354 3.009648 4.188157 5.956901
2025-11-16 0.711841 1.024360 1.463246 2.130556 3.130156 4.588640 6.908559
2025-11-23 0.615762 0.922497 1.372111 2.087092 3.210435 4.932352 7.819176
2025-11-30 0.573263 0.891935 1.378281 2.185244 3.512030 5.644140 9.404436
2025-12-07 0.527494 0.849243 1.358556 2.236942 3.742412 6.268948 10.938575
2025-12-14 0.475624 0.789636 1.303347 2.220904 3.854086 6.705852 12.208506
2025-12-21 0.420604 0.717885 1.218900 2.142643 3.844349 6.925411 13.110293
2025-12-28 0.400335 0.702810 1.228266 2.229078 4.139077 7.729031 15.237147
2026-01-04 0.382499 0.689671 1.238881 2.317872 4.447945 8.598077 17.628609
2026-01-11 0.358441 0.663519 1.224710 2.361630 4.682866 9.370699 19.984943
2026-01-18 0.335673 0.637265 1.207424 2.397286 4.907137 10.155989 22.511525
2026-01-25 0.303857 0.590108 1.144752 2.333677 4.916804 10.493286 24.094861
2026-02-01 0.269895 0.535056 1.060458 2.214552 4.790714 10.516647 24.947508
2026-02-08 0.249650 0.505544 1.024437 2.193459 4.877304 11.026682 27.065221
2026-02-15 0.229547 0.474215 0.981266 2.151272 4.909888 11.415962 28.949523
2026-02-22 0.224051 0.473101 1.001711 2.254012 5.294776 12.699626 33.395453
2026-03-01 0.214789 0.462842 1.001157 2.308140 5.570147 13.756019 37.433456
2026-03-08 0.200892 0.440920 0.972401 2.291902 5.668723 14.378678 40.378269
2026-03-15 0.183654 0.409785 0.919635 2.211148 5.592055 14.532372 41.995516
2026-03-22 0.179416 0.408109 0.934749 2.300608 5.972588 15.971745 47.746902